|
7am - Wednesday, March 3rd, 2010 Hopefully February is an indicator for severe weather and tornado activity for the year. There were NO TORNADO reports from the National Weather Service anywhere in the US during the month.
Yesterday afternoon's 3.7 earth tremor centered in Missouri is being reported as noticed from as far away as Indianapolis and Lexington. The USGS says the origin of the quake was just over 5 miles below the surface. In geological terms, this is a very shallow quake. For comparison, the quake in Chile last week was over 20 miles below the surface. If you look at historical data, there is a correlation of quakes happening close together as the earth stresses. There have been three major quakes in the last couple of months around the world (that are relevant to intermittent earthquake discussion... there are many places in the world where earth quakes are very common). While we don't deal with tsunami warnings and mudslides, we are within the local grasp of the New Madrid Seismic Zone... which is responsible for one of the largest earthquakes ever recorded. The tremor should certainly be used as a reminder to be prepared... check on your emergency plan... consider your insurance plans, as most do not include earthquakes under standard coverage.
A warm up for the weekend....
60 by Sunday. Relatively calm weather will be the theme through the
weekend. Enjoy the spring appetizer... remember winter isn't
over. :o) Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
7am - Tuesday, March 2nd, 2010 Tornado Drill.... Today at 9:07am, Central Time.
This drill will be presented just as a real Tornado Warning. The warning will not go out with a "Test" header or closing. We will make live announcements before and after the drill. The fact that the event will be a LIVE drill means that you'll likely hear community sirens/alarms at that time, too.
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
1pm - Monday, March 1st, 2010 March in like a lamb.... we're hoping that the second half of the statement doesn't come true. I'd like to see it go out like a lamb, too.
Remember that Tuesday morning at 9:07am Central time is set for a statewide LIVE tornado drill. The LIVE portion of the drill means that it will be a TEST, but all media outlets will say TORNADO WARNING, just like the real thing. Usually a test is a relay from station to station and from the Weather Service to Weather Radios that says, this is a test of the Emergency Alert System. Tomorrow's test will not say a test... It will be a "run through" of a real warning. Kentucky and the Weather Service received special permission from the FCC to conduct this real working test. Be sure you turn your weather radio on and check the batteries. You should also check your settings to be sure you are getting the proper NWS signal and have the proper areas programmed in. I recommend the ALL setting for warnings. Even though your county may not be a Warned area, if you hear the county to your West (for example) in under a warning, chances are that weather is headed you way... especially for tornados/thunderstorms/squall lines. If you do not receive the warning at 9:07am tomorrow morning, double check your radio and have it check out by a qualified person. I'll be glad to provide that service to anyone locally.
Now... a few snow flurries/rain showers will be in store for us as we head to the middle of the week.
Areas to our south and west are seeing the post precip at this point. Most of the moisture will stay to our south and scoot across the Gulf States, then turn up the East Coast.
A warm up is in store for the weekend.... mid/upper 50's by Sunday.
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
8:30am - Thursday, February 25th, 2010 Snow is tapering off... should be finished with accumulations for the day.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
7:30am - Thursday, February 25th, 2010 Heavier snow showers overnight have accumulated as much as 1-2 inches over portions of the region.
The snow showers on radar above are pushing off to the South. Another inch may be expected with this patch of snow.... Southern Hardin, Northern Hart and we'll see how far it goes after that.
Lots of Closings and Delays...
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
6am - Monday, February 22nd, 2010 Weekend rains held off until Sunday night... but a lot of it dropped in some areas. I had just under an inch overnight in the backyard. Some brief gusty winds were also experienced overnight.
We sure hope you enjoyed the 60+ temps on Saturday and Sunday. Enjoy today's temps, too... because Tuesday, we're back to reality.
Snow showers for Tomorrow and Wednesday. No accumulations are expected. A warm up is on the way for the weekend.
Long range says another cold shot of air as we begin March for the first part of next week... we'll see.
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
2:30pm - Thursday, February 18th, 2010 Temps this weekend will be too warm to provide snow. The exception will be overnight/early morning hours on Saturday. Rain may mix with snow at those times to our north, especially. Surface temps may allow for light grassy accumulations in northern portions of the region early Saturday morning. The temp maps from yesterday's post are still very close to the current forecast. In order for anything to change on this, a drastic shift will have to take place of the storm track. Snow line will be well into Indiana for this one.
Don't get too excited about a warm up. Mid week we'll chill back down just a bit, ahead of the next system. I expect that to affect our weather by about this time next week. Looks like another artic shot may be on the way at that point. It's still way too far out to pin anything up for expectations, but a general model agreement is out there for another cold snap and maybe some additional snow.
Enjoy the rain this weekend! (I'd rather it be snow than winter soup.)
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
8am - Wednesday, February 17th, 2010 I had aimed to post some thoughts (yesterday) on the upcoming weekend systems. There are two to consider. I am tending to lean toward a rain event, which is really accented in the NAM models. Here are some HPC "cocktails" that are blending some of the various models together, but even these are following more along the lines of the NAM.
On the left... HPC's precip probability. On the right... high temps for Saturday. Notice the upper 40's are just across the Tennessee border. This has Saturday highs in the mid 40's for South Central Kentucky.
The next set contains the same maps, only these are for Sunday.
Sunday, HPC backs off quite a bit on the moisture and indicates a continuing retreat of cold air. The yellow's on the temperature map indicate 45-50. The light orange in middle Tennessee indicate 50-55.
I didn't post the low temp maps, but they do fall into the upper 20's a and lower 30's for the weekend lows. I am still not convinced there will be enough cold air to support snow at the surface.
A look at the 850mb temp chart does put us on the freezing line. The 0 (c) and just below line runs right through Southern Kentucky for Saturday 12z. Based on this forecast, air aloft will allow for snow development. But.... as noted above, it may change to rain or a mix in the lower levels. Certainly, the surface temps will be less favorable for accumulation.
I would like to say that this is still a low confidence forecast. Many of the models are in a greement on precip, but vary on the temperature conditions.
I'm still going with mostly rain for Southern Kentucky. Some night time snow may be possible.
The Sunday-Monday system still a bit too far out... but I will say that temp trends point toward rain from this point.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
7am - Tuesday, February 16th, 2010 Lots of snow showers this morning. As we said yesterday, lots of these snow showers have been pushing through on and off since the main snows moved through. With the colder temps, the snows mount up quick. We've seen around 1 additional inch total from these passing snow bursts. Expect these to continue, but they will become lighter as we head into evening.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
6am - Monday, February 15th, 2010 Colder air is really pushing south and sinking in. This means a more dry type snow for today. Liquid / snow ratios may be up to 20:1. That means any heavy pockets of snow today could mount up very quickly.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
4am - Monday, February 15th, 2010 Last night's changeover to snow took a lot longer than expected. A misty-fog-drizzle combination kept evertything wet past midnight. Snows didn't mount up in the early evening hours, opposite of the folks to our north, where snow pretty much accumulated since around noon on Sunday. A heavy band of snow just pushed through our area and there is one more larger band before we see a dry slot with the cold front.
After this next band, we'll see a temporary halt to the snow for this morning for just a bit, follwed by numerous pockets of snow throuought the day. During these bursts of snow, it is likely for a quick inch of snow or more to mount up. This on/off snow will last the better part of the day and into the evening hours. Flurries can be expected through the overnight and into Tuesday morning.
It also looks like temps will be a bit colder than previous forecast packages for tonight and Tuesday.
Another chance of snow late week/weekend??? We'll talk more, later.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
12 Noon - Sunday, February 14th, 2010 Updated snowcast... Totals have increased just a bit, especially to our east with the associated low expected to track through central and south-eastern portions of the state.
Though snow flurries are being reported heavier snows are still off to the west/north. Temps may not get quite as warm as forecast for all of our region. The rain/snow line is still going to be tough to pin down. The changeover will be brief for most everyone (that has a changeover) in our area tonight, I believe. More rain is likely past the state border.
Travel will not likely be impacted until later this evening/overnight. Temps/solar leak/previous and pre-treated roads will certainly melt or be slush. Heavier snows tonight will most likely cover the roads. Look for a rough Monday AM drive. Heavier snows through the day and into the evening will likely make the afternoon drive pretty snowy, too.
Not sure on school issues for tomorrow. Many area systems had originally scheduled an off day for student's as President's Day. But, several systems had decided recently to use the day as a makeup. This snowcast will likely affect those plans for the schools deciding to go on Monday.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
8am - Sunday, February 14th, 2010 From The National Weather Service Office - Louisville, KY for most of our area (see map below):
...WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
Now, here's the latest snowcast total map from NWS:
Temps are expected to head into the mid-30's today. That's going to push our overall snow forecast down for South Central KY. With that, expect our southern most counties to experience some rain mixed with snow this afternoon (especially for those counties in the 1-3" snow category). Still, there is a lot of uncertainty as we are dealing with two systems. One is to our north and will track across Central Kentucky this afternoon. The other is to our south, where winter advisories are again posted for northern parts of Mississippi, Alabama and Georgia. The next graphic shows Winter Storm Warnings in pink and winter weather advisories in purple.
As Always... Remember a change in the storm track only slightly can greatly affect snow totals in a particular area. Also, with dewpoints pretty high, the lower levels are moist enough to produce precip right away. The storm is not going to eat up moisture saturating the atmosphere. On a side note, some sleet may mix in at times this afternoon, though it shouldn't be a significant ice/sleet event.
One more major factor for us (So-Cen KY)... Keep a close eye on the forecast temps. The north to south gradient will be tightly packed and again, we are right on that snow/rain line. On the upper side of that, add an inch of snow for this afternoon. Here are current mesonet temps and dewpoints as of about 8am.
We'll try to post throughout the afternoon.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
9am - Friday, February 12th, 2010 A potent clipper system is forecast to move through the lower Ohio Valley on Sunday and Monday. This system will likely bring at least some snow accumulations to portions of our area. Snow totals will be highly dependent on the track of the system and will be further refined in future forecasts. The best time for snow accumulations will be Sunday afternoon through early Monday. Keep abreast of the latest forecasts if you have travel plans for the latter part of the weekend.
We'll have more on our winter weather for the weekend coming up.
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
7am - Friday, February 12th, 2010 Look at the southern us map... Yes, that's a winter storm warning for Florida.
...RARE
WINTER STORM IN PROGRESS FOR THE DEEP SOUTH...
SNOW TOTALS THRU 7AM.
We'll have more on our winter weather for the weekend coming up.
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
7am - Thursday, February 11th, 2010 This week's storm beat the snow from 2 weeks ago. Official totals for Wednesday's snow came in at .6"... that puts the storm total at 5.7" since Monday. The previous storm totaled 5.5, officially. While we had more actual snowfall, we still never had as much on the ground at any given point as the last time. The rain and melting helped to keep that down.
Mon 2/8 - 2.0 Tue 2/9 - 3.1 Wed 2/10 - 0.6 Storm Total - 5.7
For the winter, we are at 14.1" of snow. To give you an idea of how far ahead of normal we are... normally at this point of the year, we have 7.2" of snow on the books... so we're almost doubled up.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
2pm - Wednesday, February 10th, 2010
Totals were really scattered for the total storm.... again, the map is showing DEPTH as of 10am Eastern this morning. After today's numbers are made official, we'll have our snow total here.... at this point we're at 5.1" not counting today since midnight.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
1pm - Wednesday, February 10th, 2010 Temps are mid/upper 20's and with the solar leak, we're seeing some nice road melting in the areas that have snow on the roads. Winds are also subsiding a bit. That is helping the wind chill feel. Temps are going to the mid teens tonight, and maybe a bit lower if we clear out early enough. Definitely re-freezing on back roads will take place tonight... and there will be slick spots on primary roads.
Situation for this weekend continues to build forecasting curiosity... north, south or down the middle? The moisture potential continues to grow, too... keep up with us on it.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
9am - Wednesday, February 10th, 2010 Official readings for snow: Monday before midnight: 2.0" Tuesday (24hr reading): 3.1" Today's total is still not official, yet.... so for the storm total at this point, we are at 5.1" of snow. This is our second 5"+ system in two weeks.... this seems like old times!!!
There's a nice patch of snow just to the north this morning that is training through Brandenburg to E-town and pushing SE.... we'll see what this does... It's dropping another inch or so in those areas.
ALSO.... don't get too worked up just yet, but the weekend activity may increase... we've been talking snow showers up to this point, but a more southern projection and added moisture may come into play for Sunday. Areas to the north and east may see a brief snow on Friday night/Saturday, but now that forecasters have turned attention to this next week, new runs from the various models are really all over the board at this point. There are several scenarios being tossed about at this point for snow. One projection puts snow down into mid state Mississippi and Alabama, then spreading snow all the way to the eastern coast. That's all still very early, but we will see more definitive forecast start to roll out with the next couple of packages heading into Thursday and Friday. Keep up with me on this one. I believe it will be another atypical setup and will be very difficult to pin down. So... expect anything.
More to come.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
6:30am - Wednesday, February 10th, 2010
Cold temps have ice layered roads and then snow on top. The snow pack is actually helping with road traction in some cases. In either case, roads are very slick in the central and northern parts of our listening area. Even WKU Bowling Green is closed today.
More to come.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
5pm - Tuesday, February 9th, 2010 Temps now dropping into the 20's across much of the area. Lots of reports of black ice on roads. Also, a few snow showers are dropping anywhere from a dusting to maybe even a 1/2 inch of snow this evening. This snow will be drier than earlier today, as it's on the back side now of the cold front. Also, winds are picking up. Blowing snow and bitter wind chills will be experienced overnight. Slush is freezing and lots of back roads are becoming glazed over. Expect overnight lows in the upper teens and wind chills near 0.
School closings are coming in.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
9am- Tuesday, February 9th, 2010
Change over back to snow happened at our Horse Cave studio about 8am. Temp here says 31, Mesonet has 32 in Barren And Metcalfe sites. We won't get warmer. Slush is like a gel on the roads... it will freeze like that too, for those areas that are not plowed or traffic ridden. Solar radiation and treatments will help keep the roads wet until temps really drop. Winds will also pick up. Later this afternoon road conditions will deteriorate again... first on back roads and then on main roads as temps drop even more. Light snow showers could produce a dusting on top, but most accumulation is over.
For the Kids....!.... Build your snow man early if you have enough snow to do so... later, the snow will get a crunchy layer on the top after the temps drop.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
5:30am - Tuesday, February 9th, 2010 Temps observed from the Kentucky Mesonet around this morning for drive time:
As you can see... there's a big jump in the warm pocket. Look at Burkesville (33) and then Albany at (40).
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
5am - Tuesday, February 9th, 2010 The snow/rain line is really situated over Northern Barren and Metcalfe Counties in our region. I have 2.2 inches at my residence as of 4:30. Just 20 miles to my south, it is raining. The KY Mesonet temps are at or 1-2 degrees above freezing this morning. While several area schools are closed, others are still working on a decision. Temperature is a key here. The wet roads will get wetter this morning as rain continues. It may mix with frozen precip... sleet or snow... at times, especially to our south. But the big kicker later this morning and mid-day will be as the cold air pushes in. We will see that happen around lunch.... is my best estimate based on tempcasts.
Still, the temperature gradient from E-town to Columbia is very tight. E-town may see all snow today and temps not above 32, while temps may get as warm as 36-37 in the Eastern portion of our listening area. As you can see, temps will start dropping after Noon and probably be below freezing just in time for afternoon drive. With slush on the Northern roads and sith the rain in the area today, this could get real icy in a hurry. This afternoon will likely be more dangerous on the roads than this morning, especially back roads.
Also, we still expect some snow shower activity. A quick 1/4 of an inch or so could occur later this afternoon/evening, though we're not expecting major accumulations after the cold air pushes in.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
9pm - Monday, February 8th, 2010 Temps are at or just slightly below freezing. Dangerous setup... we have precip of all forms reported around. Still looking at 1-3 inches locally expected by morning, then a change to rain then back to snow with re-freezing Tuesday night.
School closing are beginning to come in.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
2pm - Monday, February 8th, 2010 After the NWS gang's conference call, I see now that this is really a 4-6 hour shot at best for getting this thing right. There is a much different scenario with the merging of two storm systems. We could get all rain tomorrow and then see the bottom fall out of the temps, or get a BIG dump of snow and then see the temps fall. Either way, we can be in for high winds and re-freezing late on Tuesday and into Wednesday.
I'll be watching snow rates along with the rain/snow line and keep posting.
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
1:30pm - February 8th, 2010 NWS conference call going on right now.... Highlights:
* Not a classic storm setup... not an extremely high confidence forecast * Two storm systems are merging to create this setup * Snow by 8pm (central) tonight in Bowling Green * High winds for Tuesday/Tuesday Night.... 30mph + * Highest totals will be in Southern Indiana/Northern Kentucky areas * 6 or more hour event.... snow/rain line will creep north on Tuesday morning * That line will significantly determine the amount of snow that accumulates * Whatever we get will REFREEZE with much colder air bardging in. Road conditions (especially north) could be worse on Wednesday for ice than for Tuesday morning for snow
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
1pm - Monday, February 8th, 2010 Updated Advisory/Warning Map:
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
10:30am - Monday, February 8th, 2010 A line of Leitchfield to E-town to Lexington (and areas north) is now under a Winter Storm Warning. Metcalfe and other counties to the south and east are also now under a Winter Weather Advisory, as that is extended now to take into account a new forecast track.
..WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST /6 PM
Western Tennessee is also under a Winter Storm Warning.... The storm track is trending slightly south of previous model runs. This could make our forecast a bit more tricky. An artic front is pushing south out of the Plains States, however warmer conditions are also pushing north.... we are on the line where these two are colliding. We are still expecting a change over to rain to the East, but to our West, that change may not occur. Instead, it may be all snow or a mixture of snow and sleet. So, we're continuing to watch this scenario very closely. A degree or two shifting could greatly affect how much and type of precip. The storm track is also showing a lightly quicker advancement.
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
7am - Monday, February 8th, 2010 Before rain on Tuesday, we could see some snow overnight and early morning. A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for the areas shaded for 1" or more accumulations. Here's NWS Louisville's SnowCast:
More to come later...
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
12 Noon - Saturday, February 6th, 2010 Most areas around only report .5 or under... to a trace.... of snow for this morning. Heavier totals to the north. NWS office in Louisville reported 1.6" and Louisville International Airport reported .7" snow.
Roads seem to be fine.
Monday night - Tuesday storm now looking more rainy than wintry. We'll look for tomorrow afternoon's models and forecast package for a more solid look.
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
12 Noon - Friday, February 5th, 2010 NWS Louisville has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for all of our area... Here's their forecast snow total map:
Low pressure will track northeast through eastern Kentucky tonight. The low will drag cold air in from the northwest as it passes to our east and rain will transition to snow from north to south. Snow will begin across the north this evening, while the south can expect snow to begin overnight. The highest amounts are expected over portions of southern Indiana and the Bluegrass where 4 to 5 inches is expected through Saturday. 2 to 4 inches is expected from roughly I-64 south to the Bluegrass Parkway. 1 to 3 inches is expected across south central Kentucky.
Send Snow Totals In !!!
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
8am - Friday, February 5th, 2010
Thanks to our good friend, Tammy Sexton from WVLC for the text pic of the Greensburg DQ from this morning on her way to work.
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
7am - Friday, February 5th, 2010 Got word through our news department this morning that Greensburg Dairy Queen was destroyed by fire last night.... I hate to hear that... great food and good memories of that place. I remember meeting the 92 UK Basketball Seniors ("The Unforgettables") there before they played an exhibition game at Green County High School following their loss to Duke in that epic basketball game in the 92 NCAA Tournament. That's what I remember when I think about the Greensburg DQ, even though I was only 13 at the time.
We've also heard that Waffle House in E-town was damaged by fire. What's up with all this?
Heavy rain for the morning commute... be careful. Lots of ponding on the roads.
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
6am - Friday, February 5th, 2010 It's been a few days since I've been able to post, but we've been fairly quiet since early week. I've been reluctant to stick my neck out on this weekend's system. I started with rain, then talk of ice, then back to rain, and now... a rain / snow mix. We are expecting a couple of inches of snow in the northern tier of the area into Saturday morning.
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
7:30am - Tuesday, February 2nd, 2010 Taylor County Schools changed from a delay to being closed after reports of Black Ice. A skiff of light showers/freezing rain and snow clipped our region this morning. Not a large impact, though... Temps on the southern half of our area are above freezing. Forecast temps last night were in the mid-upper 20's, but we never did get there. Places that still have ice on the roads... We've had just enough rain on that to make it extra slick... Wet Ice.
On late week: This is a challenge for forecasters. Don't get set on any certain type of precip, yet. It's way too early to say with any degree of certainty about the exact type of precip.
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
12:45am - Monday, February 1st, 2010 No Schools Are Reporting, Except Russell County.... Likely to be 4-5pm before decisions are made.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
11am - Monday, February 1st, 2010 Whew.... what a weekend of chaos.... I trust everyone made a positive of the weather and at least tried to enjoy the snow. Temps for today have been pushing up and up... we didn't expect above freezing today until early Sunday. But, now looks like we may catch 40.... still difficult to tell with all the snow on the ground. Tomorrow will be even warmer and the melting really takes place into Wednesday.
HEADS UP... Here is a Jackson/Louisville/Indy NWS discussion for later this week, as we monitor another storm system:
THIS
CONTINUES TO BE A SYSTEM WORTHY OF CLOSE ATTENTION GIVEN THE FOR FRIDAY
NIGHT AND THEN THE WEEKEND...EXPECT A CHANGE TO ALL SNOW FOCUS IN
THE EXTENDED REMAINS ON POTENTIAL WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE OHIO VALLEY FOR
FRIDAY-SATURDAY. AS IS TO BE EXPECTED AT 4-5 DAYS OUT...MODELS ARE PROVIDING
A PLETHORA OF SOLUTIONS. LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING IN THE WESTERN GULF AS DEEP
UPPER TROUGH EJECTS OUT OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST ON THURSDAY. LOW WILL
TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES LATE WEEK AND THEN DEEPEN AS IT RIDES UP
THE COAST We'll be watching this scenario very closely over the next few days.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
5pm - Sunday, January 31st, 2010 Just a heads up... and it's a LONG WAY down the road in forecasting terms, but long range model runs are indicating a similar event for late this upcoming week... Current trend is a bit warmer, but definitely a weather maker. I'm not ready to jump on the bandwagon with this one, yet... but I'm just saying what a couple of the models are agreeing on.
4:30pm - Sunday, January 31st, 2010 School closings are now starting to pour in....
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
7am - Sunday, January 31st, 2010 This winter's 1st major snowfall
dropped totals ranging from 4 to 7 inches of snow across the region this
weekend. It is the largest snowfall in several years. While the local
numbers vary, the official number will go in the book as 5.5 inches of
snowfall for the entire storm. That is the recorded amount from Bowling
Green Regional Airport, which typically is the point of reference for
weather data in our area. The 5.5 total includes 2.8 inches of snow from
Friday and 2.7 on Saturday.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
10:30am - Saturday, January 30th, 2010
Link: How To Properly Measure Snowfall Link: Kentucky Road Conditions
10am - Saturday, January 30th, 2010 Enjoy Some Snow Cream !!! My mother, used to make this with half/half, but this looks good, too.
- A gallon of snow - Two Cups Of Milk
I'm seeing some really OVER THE TOP snow totals being e-mailed in to me. Please be sure that when you measure snow, you are away from drift zones... like the south side of your house. The north wind blows over the roofline causing high drift. Get away from structures. Also, measure on a hard surface underneath the snow. If you measure in grass and push a ruler down, you will add depth that actually isn't snow, but rather grass compressed underneath the snow.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
8am - Saturday, January 30th, 2010 This seems like old times... haven't had a snow like this in several years. 3.8 at my house. Metcalfe Mesonet has recorded .16 of LIQUID precip since midnight. That is combined with .11 from Friday's total for a .27 storm at this point. With the snow of about 3.8 inches... that's about a 14:1 ratio. Looking at other precip totals, Albany is the highest in our area with .41 so far today and .21 on Friday. Going with the 14:1 formula, that's about 8.8" of snow in Clinton County.
Thanks to Patricia for this pic from Edmonton.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
8:50pm - January 29th, 2010 Roads very dangerous... Metcalfe County Judge Executive Greg Wilson says that 911 is receiving very heavy call volume with respect to numerous accidents... If you have an accident with no injuries, please call 670-8813. Let 911 handle the most urgent calls.
I was on I65 in E-town at about 7:30... just a dusting there. Accumulation really starts at about the Glendale area and gets heavier as you come south. The Interstate is at a crawl as you get to about Upton and south.
State/US roads are also becoming very packed.
Don't travel unless you need to.
Right now moderate to heavy snows are coming down in most of the area. I have 2.5 inches at my residence. I am updating from home and keeping up with local information from a variety of sources... a lot is going on, so I'll post as possible.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
5pm - Friday, January 29th, 2010 Again, even though many people are asking where is the snow?... NWS is sticking to the guns on total snow amounts. Here is the latest statement from late this afternoon:
Light to
moderate snow started over areas to the east of Interstate 65 by 2 PM CST,
and will continue to cross south-central Kentucky through the remainder of
the afternoon. Occasional snow will continue overnight before diminishing
Saturday morning. Snow amounts of 6 to 10 inches are expected over parts of
south-central Kentucky, including Bowling Green, Glasgow, Columbia, and
Burkesville. Just to the north of this, a band of 5 to 9 inch amounts is
forecast for areas from around Beaver Dam, to Leitchfield, Munfordville,
Campbellsville, Liberty, and Stanford.
Even though the timing of this
storm was on delay this morning, the duration of the precip tonight will
mount up. Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
1:30pm - Friday, January 29th, 2010 Starting to see snow showers at studio... Accumulating snow still expected later this afternoon and overnight. Huge snow totals expected for mid-state and eastern Tennessee.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
KEEP ME INFORMED on your snow totals and conditions. Send a txt message to 270-528-4033, call us on the studio lines... 270-786-4400 or 270-432-7991... or e-mail us... pictures are welcome, too!
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
11:30am - Friday, January 29th, 2010 Snow is finding it's way slowly to the Southern Kentucky Region. Cold and dry air at the surface is still holding the snow off. Still expecting significant accumulations... just pushing back a bit. Also the heaviest snow looks to be a little further south with today's track. This is starting to look more like the models from Wednesday, rather than the ones from yesterday.
Down south... big problems in middle Tennessee. Snow and sleet are piling up.
WSMV - Channel 4 I-65 In Nashville
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
8am - Friday, January 29th, 2010 Lawton Oklahoma... Bad... Lots of ice.
KFOR - Channel 4
Power is out and trees are down. Not a good scene in Oklahoma.
The good part for us is that we DO NOT expect anything like this. We are looking at a snow event.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
7am - Friday, January 29th, 2010 Most of the snow that you see on radar at this point is not reaching ground. Dewpoints are still in the lower teens around the area. Metcalfe County's Mesonet site says 13 for the dewpoint and humidity at 71%. So, surface level is not fully saturated. Even in Western Kentucky.....Fulton County's Mesonet is reporting Dewpoint at 16 and humidity at 74%.
Here's the latest winter storm statements from NWS, Louisville: A storm system will move across Louisiana this afternoon and then into Georgia on Saturday. Well north of this storm, plentiful moisture and cold air will combine to bring a potentially major winter storm to parts of south central Kentucky. Light to moderate snow should streak across south-central Kentucky starting this afternoon. Occasional snow will continue overnight before diminishing Saturday morning. Snow amounts of 5 to 9 inches are expected over parts of south-central Kentucky, including Bowling Green, Glasgow, Columbia, and Burkesville. A bit farther north over central Kentucky, snow also will develop by late afternoon and continue tonight before diminishing Saturday. Snowfall amounts of 2 to 5 inches are likely, with locally higher amounts possible. This includes cities such as Leitchfield, Campbellsville, Elizabethtown, Bardstown, Danville, Lexington, and Richmond. Over north-central Kentucky, including Louisville and Frankfort, 1 to 3 inches of snow is expected, with most of the snow occurring Friday night and Saturday morning. Over south-central Indiana, around 1 inch is possible. There is still some uncertainty as to the track of this storm. A northward shift could bring higher amounts farther north in central Kentucky, and a more southern track would limit snowfall amounts over southern Indiana and north-central Kentucky. A stronger storm also could increase snow amounts across the area. Citizens should stay tuned to the latest forecast updates on this winter storm. I will post several times today,
but will probably be very short and to the point. Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
6:30pm - Thursday, January 28th, 2010 Most area schools are closing for Friday.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
6pm - Thursday, January 28th, 2010 *** Start of snow now advanced from last estimates *** Just consulted with a couple of local school systems about likelihood of calling off classes for Friday. There is some hesitating to do so at this time based on today's earlier statements from the NWS that snows might hold off into the afternoon hours. This would allow schools to get in a partial day. However, a new statement from the Louisville office offers the following information:
Moisture riding over the top of this system will generate light to moderate snowfall starting early Friday morning and continuing into Saturday across our region. The heaviest snows likely will fall in the period from 9 AM Friday morning to 10 PM Friday evening, with snow beginning as early as 5 AM Friday across south-central Kentucky.
Light to moderate snow should streak across south-central Kentucky starting Friday morning, with snow heavy at times Friday afternoon and Friday night before diminishing Saturday morning. Snow amounts of 5 to 9 inches are expected over parts of south-central Kentucky, including Bowling Green, Glasgow, Columbia, and Burkesville. Isolated higher amounts are possible.
I'll be posting any school info as soon as I receive it. Some schools (especially in western portions of our area) may decide this evening to call off school.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
3:30pm - Thursday, January 28th, 2010 New Forecast Package is out..... snow totals estimates are increased and the storm track projection is shifted to the north just a bit. The Winter Storm Warning is now including Hart, Green, Taylor, Grayson and Edmonson. Areas from there north to Louisville have been placed on a Winter Storm Watch.
Check out Belski's map for snow totals... we're right in his sweet spot.
WAVE 3 - John Belski's Snow Forecast... Click Map To Goto His Discussion Pate
NWS still slightly more conservative:
There is a lot to take in from the new model runs. I'll be posting more later. I've been in contact with some schools. Many of the school systems are collaborating among themselves about Friday Classes. Timing on the snow arrival and subsequent accumulation is still not nailed down on this. Still a lot of variance on this point.
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
10am - Thursday, January 28th, 2010 NWS Conference Call from this morning.... Key points:
* Timing is push back on the arrival of snow. Likely to be a Mid-Late Friday event for our Northern area, with earlier timing for Southern Counties (Near KY-TN Border). * Total storm event is expected to be longer with moderate snow rather than shorter snows with heavy bursts. Expecting a 24-hour type event. Looking at the length of time rather than the intensity for the creation of accumulation. * Likely an extension for the Winter Storm Warning for South Kentucky into Saturday evening rather than expiring on Saturday. * Likely to see addition/upgrade to Winter Strom Warning for Edmonson, Grayson, Hart, Hardin, LaRue, Green Taylor and Casey County areas for later today. * Friday morning commute will likely be OK. Snow to the west and south first.... afternoon drive still in question. * New Forecast Package set to be released around 3pm Central today. Models are trending slightly north movement on track. However, lower level moisture saturation may "eat up" initial snow fall.
Those are the key points for our particular area. We must keep in mind that the snow accumulation totals are spread out over the entire event. We are not expecting a wave of Snow Band situations. But, we are expecting a more drawn out accumulation. This is good news for travel, because the road prep has a better chance of being effective. Also, traffic on the roads can help provide resistance to surface accumulation.
We can expect a wet type snow locally, with drier / more fine snow to the north. The wetter snow will make for slushy driving conditions.
Temps will be below freezing until at least Monday... depending on the snow cover, maybe even into Tuesday. And, following that, another system is lined up... Too far out to tell at this point, but maybe a snow/rain event mid next week.
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
6am - Thursday, January 28th, 2010 New info from Louisville NWS... Winter Storm Warning for Warren, Barren, Metcalfe, Adair and all Counties SOUTH of that line down to the Tennessee Border.
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT
FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM CST
Here's an updated accumulation forecast map from NWS - Louisville...
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
2pm - Wednesday, January 27th, 2010 NWS conference call just wrapped.... Winter Storm Watch coming out for portions of our area... mainly south of E-town.
Northern TN is now in Winter Storm Watch.
See the Nashville NWS office page here...
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
1pm - Wednesday, January 27th, 2010 A great Web Chat is going on with Chris and Shane of WBKO right now.
Here's the link: http://www.wbko.com/stormstream
I always respect Chris Allen and Shane Holinde for their genuine concern for safety in our region of Kentucky. That is a mark of great broadcaster... being able to be a professional and an still be a person that is real and compassionate.
The latest on the storm... see below.... not much changed since this morning as the forecast goes. The GSM / NAM models are in agreement for the first 12-18... but then start to vary on the run as we go 24-48-72 and later.
We'll post again later.
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
7am - Wednesday, January 27th, 2010... I appreciate all the e-mail questions... thanks for letting me know you're following my page. I've been working out of the studio a lot for the past several days, so it's been hard to post.
Also, thanks for the recommendation to enlarge the time/post header. I totally understand what you were saying about not being able to easily see the font/size/color on some screens.
I'll be updating regularly through now thru the weekend's storm system.
A Winter Storm Watch is posted for Western Kentucky.
NWS Statement: A storm system is expected to develop across Texas Thursday and move across the Deep South Friday and Friday night. Moisture riding over the top of this system will generate light to moderate snowfall starting early Friday morning and continuing into Saturday across our region. The heaviest snows likely will fall in the period from 9 AM Friday morning to 10 PM Friday evening, with snow beginning as early as 5 AM Friday across south-central Kentucky. The latest forecast calls for snow totals of up a half a foot possible across parts of far South-Central Kentucky and the Lake Cumberland areas. Further north across the Louisville/Lexington corridor, totals around 1-3 inches are possible. There is still large uncertainty in the exact track of the storm system moving by to our south. A more southern track would mean less snowfall from the amounts given above. Residents of and visitors to the region should stay tuned to the latest forecast updates on this developing winter storm. Here's the latest snow estimate graphic for FRIDAY from the NWS Louisville office.
There is still a lot of disagreement among various forecasters... NWS, AccuWeather, Weather Channel... The track continues to trend south in both the GFS and NAM runs. A more consistent estimate/consensus should be out for this afternoon.
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
Friday, January 15th, 2010.....7am Only in Kentucky.... right? From 10-15 below normal to about 10-15 above normal, a week is swinging about a 25 difference.
Rain this weekend... Saturday night, rain may be heavy at times. To our north, still some discussion about minor icing if moisture is present that far, although most of the moisture from this system is to our south and will push up through Eastern Kentucky and out to the coast. Night lows are only expected in the mid/upper 30's for So.Ky.
Beginning of next week is warm, too. Temps look to push into the lower 50's on Mon/Tue with another system moving through mid/late week... looks like rain at this point.
Next cold pattern looks to push in around the last week of the Month and perhaps an artic blast after that for the first week of February. This is based on previous patterns and not necessarily "map/model logic".
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
Wednesday, January 13th, 2010..... 10am A little colder than forecast allowed for last night. Forecast lows expected about 22. Temps were in the lower 10's around the region. BG recorded 15 around 6am. State's low happened in Richmond with 6. Fog in some areas this morning caused some icing in Northern/Western parts of the Commonwealth.
Temps are shooting up quite nicely, and will continue though for the afternoon. Expect around 40 for the high. Lots of melting should take place with the sunshine. Expect near 50 on Friday.
Model runs are still inconsistent for this weekend's Southern US system. I'm still not expecting a lot of rain, but showers are possible Sat/Sun and at night a winter mix may factor in at times. Temps are trending warmer, with overnight lows (at least for now) not expected to fall below freezing.... still going to stay shy on the precip/type forecast.
Big story yesterday and today is Haiti's big 7+ earthquake. I really don't like how the media spins the numbers... If you'll notice all the headlines say 3+ Million people affected by quake... What does that actually mean? The death toll isn't high enough or the injured number isn't high enough?... So, let's use the 3 Million number cause it's more impressive?... On the science side of it, at least 35 aftershocks have hit since the main quake and many structures have collapsed. Estimating the deaths/injuries/cost of the quake is not realistically possible at this time, regardless of the exaggerated news reports. This area has fallen on hard times from the natural disaster standpoint over recent years. Several hurricanes struck in the previous year or so, where assessments say that around 22,000 homes were destroyed and agricultural producers lost around 70% of their crops.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com or wloc@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
Tuesday, January 12th, 2010...4pm Haven't had much time today to write... playing catch-up from all the fun of the last few days. Temps today were reported at 31-32 in parts of the region. Mostly below freezing, though, for just about everybody.
The real thaw out begins Wednesday. And, by Friday we'll flirt with 50. Ground should be really nice and soupy for all the hard working farmers and hay feeders.
Late Saturday, we'll put some rain on top of that. Looks like maybe some mixed precip for Saturday night and Sunday night as night-time lows go to or slightly below freezing. Most of the models agree on temp but are still tugging over the anticipated storm track. We're still watching this one, but not really expecting anything of great magnitude.
Schools should be in pretty good shape for just about everybody on Wednesday. I think we'll see mostly delays if anything. Get the true story on the closings page.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send snow totals, weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
Monday January 11th, 2010...10am Snow showers this morning provided an additional dusting for much of the area. Tonight's dusting could cause some driving problems for Tuesday morning's commute... Especially for North/Eastern parts of the area.
Watching the late week storm for winter weather potential. Looks like most precip will be to our South. North side of low could get a winter mix on Friday night as lows flirt with the freezing mark. Icing has been hinted in the models for Northern Tennessee and Southern Kentucky. Still a lot more to go on seeing how this one plays out for the upcoming weekend.
Today's temps and Tuesday's temps have been amended down, but the thaw will still happen by Wednesday with highs into the 40s and near 50 by Thursday and Friday before the next frontal passage.
No word yet, on any schools. I expect that with the possibility of snow showers tonight, we won't get any announcements until early Tuesday morning.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send snow totals, weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
Sunday January 10th, 2010...4pm New school closings.... see the 991 Snow Watch page for details.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send snow totals, weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
Sunday, January 10th, 2010.....2pm Cold overnight readings... Bowling Green recorded 10 above... but there were plenty of colder readings from around.... With a good snow pack on ground, Henderson recorded the state's lowest temp at -2. Owensboro dropped to 1 above, while Paducah and London each recorded 3 above. The station observation recorded 7 above for the overnight low.
Solar surface warming has melted most roadway snow and ice, except for those areas where the roads are shaded from the sun. Many of the "back roads" are still slick in spots and the melting will re-freeze overnight.
Monday night, we could see another light accumulation. We'll see how that works out. The higher likelihood of snow is north and east of our region.
A Warm up still coming for mid-week. Another system moves in for Thursday/Friday. Here's a new scary outlook.... at least one model run is showing ice for our area at this point.
Schools still haven't announced any closures at this point for Monday classes. Keep checking on the closings/cancellation page.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send snow totals, weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
Saturday, January 9th, 2010.....1pm About an additional inch of fluffy snow overnight for most of the area.... Primary roads are in good shape. However, the secondary roads are still packed and very slick in places. Cold tonight. Forecast says 10... and again I still say a bit colder... maybe even 5 or below because of the snow cover. We'll see what the lows are from the Mesonet readings for Sunday morning.
May get a skiff of snow on Monday night. Not looking like anything major.
Thaw out is coming by about Tuesday.... we should be into the 40's by mid week and another system will bring precip by late week... PM Thursday into Friday. Looks like a mainly rain event at this point.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send snow totals, weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
Friday, January 8th, 2010..... 1pm Congrats on our snow total guess winner, Joe Huer. He guessed 1.5" as Thursday's total, which officially came in at 1.4". Joe wins a 991 Snow Day Prize Package, featuring an Elvis 75 Anniversary Collection (Today is Elvis' Birthday) along with DVD's and some other snow day goodies. Thanks to all who entered the contest. Maybe we'll get enough snow to do it again in the next couple of weeks.
I still believe Saturday night's low will be closer to Zero than 10, which is the current forecast low.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send snow totals, weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
Friday, January 8th, 2010..... 7am Brrrr.... Cold morning... Slick roads... Lots of accident's reported with one fatality in Barren County from Thursday afternoon. Park roads are closed through mid-morning in Mammoth Cave National Park. A few snow showers can be expected today and tonight, but no significant accumulations.
Thursday snow totals from around the state: 2.7" LEXINGTON (OFFICIAL)
We'll announce our snow guessing On-Air contest winner just after 8am on The Trader.
It's cold and going to get colder. Some good news is that so far, winds haven't been up to the forecast levels. That's helped to make it a little more bearable.
If you're a snow lover, this weeks system may be a bit of a disappointment. The Forecast slightly exaggerated the accumulation. Looking ahead to next week.... a system should arrive by late week, but right now looks like a rainer.
Remember this date?... I sure do... Unless you had steel spikes on your tires, you weren't going anywhere... January 8th, 1999 -- A mixture of snow, sleet, and freezing rain broke out across central Kentucky late on January 7 and then changed mainly to a mix of freezing rain and sleet during the morning of January 8. At one point over 100 tractor trailer rigs were stranded on the Western Kentucky Parkway between Caneyville and Leitchfield. In Hart County a state of emergency was declared that barred all travel on area roads, after 80 to 100 vehicles became stranded.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send snow totals, weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
Thursday, January 7th, 2010.....6pm Temps are really dropping and roads are icing over. No more slush... be careful. Most local estimates are around 1.25" to around 3" in our Northern coverage area. Winds will pick up tonight and we'll see blowing snow and lingering snow showers tonight and tomorrow may create a small acumulation on top of what we already have.
We'll be watching the Satuday clearning, as we could see temps trent even colder for overnight lows. Still thinking 0 is possible with the snow amounts to the North.
Long day... we'll see ya in the morning. Want your snow totals!!!!!
KEEP ME INFORMED on your snow totals and conditions. Send a txt message to 270-528-4033, call us on the studio lines... 270-786-4400 or 270-432-7991... or e-mail us... pictures are welcome, too!
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
+
Send snow totals, weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
Thursday, January 7th, 2010.....1pm NWS has issued a special statement for our area about tonight's wind conditions:
THE LIGHT SNOW WE HAVE BEEN SEEING TODAY WILL BE TAPERING OFF TO FLURRIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS BY LATE AFTERNOON. AS THE SNOW ENDS A COLD FRONT WILL USHER IN WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...ESPECIALLY IN RURAL AREAS.
Thursday, January 7th, 2010.....11am A wintry mix of snow, sleet and some rain is being reported in our area. While out on around town just a few minutes ago, I experienced lots of sleet pellets hitting the windshield. The sleet and rain are draining the accumulation potential for snow. One more large area of precipitation is off to the west pushing our direction. If it remains all snow, we can see a little more accumulation.
Heavier banding of snow now occurring in Louisville/Floyds Knobs area up to the north. If some banding takes place down state with inflow moisture, we may also experience some brief bursts of snow later today.
Right now, 3/4" in the parking lot here.
Thursday, January 7th, 2010.....7:30am System is not putting down the large snow totals expected off to our west. St. Louis is about 2 inches under the 5 inches expected there.
Currently 1/2 inch snow at our Studio. I'm guessing another 1/2 inch with the mid-day burst that will move through... added to what we have and an additional 1/2 inch of daytime light snow shower activity will put us up to the 1.5" total for today.
Still thinking we a few snow showers later tonight for a 1/2 inch or so.
KEEP ME INFORMED on your snow totals and conditions. Send a txt message to 270-528-4033, call us on the studio lines... 270-786-4400 or 270-432-7991... or e-mail us... pictures are welcome, too!
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send snow totals, weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
Thursday, January 7th, 2010.....5:30am Heavy snow pocket pushing east along the WK Parkway from Leitchfield to Elizabethtown. It will likely continue to push along the Bluegrass Parkway corridor east of E-Town. Plenty of new snow pockets popping up to our west and moving this way.
Thursday, January 7th, 2010.....5:30am Light snow showers now starting along the I-65 areas.
Thursday, January 7th, 2010.....5am Most all schools in the area are now out for today. Snow is advancing east. Last night, early snow showers developed and moved as far as Hopkinsville by about 7-8pm. That initial "line of lift" set of the snow showers that dissipated as they moved east. The bulk of the moisture (which on a national radar view is quite impressive) is moving through Southern Illinois and Western Kentucky here in the pre-dawn hour. A heavy batch of snow is now falling between Bowling Green and Owensboro.
Still looking at 1-3 inches for today...(North to South gradient... 1 in Southern Kentucky and up to 3 in the Bluegrass Parkway corridor). Just as I have since the beginning of this system, I'm favoring the lower end of that scale. We'll still have to wait and see.
On a hopeful note for those wanting to see a large accumulation total: If some southerly moisture could somehow get pulled up into this, we may see some trailing bands of snow that pile up on us. The problem with that scenario is that the Low associated with all of this is pretty far north. Not likely, though... just a hopeful thought.
KEEP ME INFORMED on your snow totals and conditions. Send a txt message to 270-528-4033, call us on the studio lines... 270-786-4400 or 270-432-7991... or e-mail us... pictures are welcome, too!
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send snow totals, weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
Wednesday, January 6th, 2010...10pm Snow is already into Western Kentucky. Precip is moving west slightly ahead of forecast timeframe. More schools are now added to the closings list.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send snow totals, weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
Wednesday, January 6th, 2010.... 6pm As we mentioned earlier, most area schools are still waiting to see tonight's final forecast. However... Hart, Green, Caverna and Taylor have already cancelled Thursday classes. I expect to hear an update from Metcalfe County 7-8pm. No word on Barren/Glasgow, Monroe, Cumberland or Adair.
Also, as expected, the National Weather Service has issued the Winter Storm Warning for upper portions of our listening area and a Winter Weather Advisory for the rest of us.
I'll be in early (2-3am) to update Thursday morning. We should have a radar intercept for snow off to our West at that point.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send snow totals, weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
Wednesday, January 6th, 2010....2pm No changes to report in the forecast (see previous post below).
I have talked with a couple of school officials about the possibility of cancellations. What I've been told by both is that they are going to take a wait and see attitude about Thursday. If the forecast intensifies by tonight there may be a call made. If not, they will make decisions on Thursday morning. The forecast moisture has gradually gone from 4-6" snowcast back on Monday to 3-4" yesterday and now 1-3" the call today. So, they will see if there is a trend down again.
Keep checking back.
I'd love to hear your snow sledding stories or fun stories that happened during winter storms of the past. On the air this morning, I recalled my 1996 Senior High School year and getting stuck at a friends house during that whopping 16" snow. Pictures are welcome, too.
I'll keep posting throughout the day.
Closings-Cancellations-Delays... Click Here for the 991 Snow Watch Page
Send snow totals, weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
Wednesday, January 6th, 2010....10am New runs are indicating a slightly later push for the snow. Likely I-65 area will be experiencing snow by or just after day break. East of I-65 should be well after day-break before snow fall.
Snow will not be a heavy/wet snow. It will be a light and fluffy type event. Areas with high traffic volume will help to simply wisp away the snow powder. Packing may take place but pre-treatment that causes melting may actually allow the snow to "stick" to the road rather than it just blowing off. Several of our area roads were pre-treaded on Tuesday. Due to the fact that there is no pre-snow rain to wash that off, the liquid treatment has already "bonded" to the road surface.
Local Schools have a tough call for Thursday. I am still favoring a lower snow total. But, the bulk of the snow that we get will mount up during the mid/morning hours and taper off by mid-day. The forecast still has 1-3 inches for areas in the areas to the South the Bluegrass Parkway corridor. A total of 3-5 inches expected to the North of that line.
New Winter Storm Warning expected for northern counties. A Winter Weather Advisory expected for the rest of us and down to the Tennessee state line. We'll post that info after it is issued.
Winds will likely pick up later in the day and into Thursday night. Westerly breezes 15-20mph will continue into Friday with higher gusts possible. Blowing snow and drifting will be an issue in areas that get significant accumulations.
This should be a fairly even snow. The gradient of totals will likely be even... more north and less south.
Additional snow on Thursday night from back side moisture will be at a higher liquid/snow ratio.... closer to 20-25:1 With that in mind, it won't take a lot to mount up, but 1/2" to 1" not out of the question, especially to the north.
COLDER temps Friday night and Saturday. Friday night temps will be likely in the upper single digits. If clearing occurs early enough on Saturday night... and IF we have a considerable snow pack, temps could easily get to zero or below, contrary to what the forecast lows are at this point.
I'll keep posting throughout the day.
Send snow totals, weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
Wednesday, January 6th, 2010...9:30am I'm on conference call now with National Weather Service. We'll report on the info in just a bit. New Winter Storm Warning expected for northern counties. A Winter Weather Advisory expected for the rest of us and down to the Tennessee state line. We'll post that info after it is issued.
I'll be posting more later.
Send snow totals, weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
Wednesday, January 6th, 2010....7am Winter Storm Watch late tonight through Thursday Afternoon... Owensboro and areas just to the West of that are under a Winter Storm Warning. (NWS Map)
We're about 24-hours out from the beginning of precip here in Southern / Central Kentucky. There is still a variety of forecast estimates as to how much snow will accumulate. NWS now says "around 2 inches" through Thursday for our region of the state with another 1/2 inch possible on Friday as the wrap around moisture allows for snow shower activity. Here's what WAVE-3's John Belski says (map linked to John's weather discussion page at www.wave3.com):
I'm still not sold on even that much snow. I still believe the system will pick up speed and the precip won't be as prolonged as the current forecast stands. We'll have to see. One good thing is that the winds may not be as gusty as first expected. Although it should be a breezy day on Thursday, the 30mph gusts don't look as likely now. I'm still going with the 1-2 inch estimate with maybe another inch on Friday.
Typical snow/rain ratio conversion is about 10:1 as the precip model maps only estimate moisture in liquid form. So, part of the winter weather forecasting "formula" for getting it right is adapting the correct ratio. That involves several variables. With this storm, some forecasters are saying 20+:1 ratios. The Artic air mass attributes to the high ratios. Basic translation is that the higher the snow to rain ratio is, less moisture creates higher accumulation totals.
I'll be posting more later.
Send snow totals, weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
Tuesday, January 6th, 2010.....2pm A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for our entire listening area.
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH
Send snow totals, weather info and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
Tuesday, January 5th, 2010...8am Here we go.... fist snow? I'm still going to wait until this afternoon's models before putting my own accumulation guestimate on here. Here's the latest advisory from the NWS Louisville office....
...FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOWS OF THIS WINTER SEASON AND
BITTERLY COLD
Send weather and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
Monday, January 4th, 2010... 6am Happy New Year...! As you wake up this morning, you'll find a dusting of snow across the area.
Cold will hang on for this week. Also, there is good possibility of accumulating show mid/late week. There are still some questions as to where the storm track will pass. I've been pro-snow on my outlook for the last two major systems and gotten "melted" by the warmer flow. So... with this one, I'm going to be more cautious... even though most models are in agreement that an accumulating snow will occur here during that time frame.
Forecast should really solidify midday/late Tuesday for the snow potential. I'm not going to get too excited, yet. There is still some question as to how much moisture will be available for a significant snow. We'll see.
Send weather and other newsworthy pictures to: 991@scrtc.com
Chris Jessie
|
|
- WLOC/WHSX Meteorologist, Chris Jessie
|
|